Performance by Confidence Score
Based on completed matches where the engine's favoured outcome was tracked against the actual result. Based on 22,078 matches. Snapshot: February 28, 2026.
| Score | Level | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|
| 1 / 7 | Low | 34.9% |
| 2 / 7 | Low | 41.5% |
| 3 / 7 | Medium | 46.6% |
| 4 / 7 | Medium | 52.2% |
| 5 / 7 | Medium | 59.7% |
| 6 / 7 | High | 68.6% |
| 7 / 7 | High | 82% |
Based on 22,078 matches (snapshot: Feb 28, 2026). 856 "Too Close to Call" matches excluded.
What This Means for You
When the engine rates a match as High confidence, the favoured outcome materialised in 69–82% of matches in our historical data. That's a meaningful signal in a sport where even strong favourites lose regularly.
At Medium confidence, accuracy ranges from 47–60% depending on the score — around or above coin-flip, but with notable uncertainty. The analysis is useful context, not a strong signal.
Low confidence is an honest signal too: accuracy drops to 35–42%, below coin-flip. The engine doesn't have enough reliable data to form a stable view. Read the reasoning, but treat it as background context rather than a reliable indicator.
Note: Confidence measures how reliable the analysis is, not which team will win. A balanced 50/50 match can have High confidence if the data says it's genuinely even. A heavy favourite can have Low confidence if signals conflict. The score reflects data quality and signal consistency — not outcome certainty.
How the Score Is Built
The 1–7 score is the sum of four dimensions, each rated 0–2, clamped to a practical range.
See it live on every match
Every match insight shows its confidence score and the specific reasons behind it.